For years, solar and wind have met more and more of the growth in electricity demand. The latest data for the first three quarters of 2025, along with Ember’s forecast for the full year of 2025, show that, as anticipated, clean sources are now growing fast enough to meet and exceed all electricity demand growth.

This marks a structural shift towards a period of stagnation in fossil generation. The challenge now is to sustain the growth in 2026 and beyond, not only to meet continued strong growth in electricity demand, but also to drive down fossil generation from its current levels.